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Demographics Are Everything; Divorce, Live Alones Mean Up, Up, Up!
Topic Started: 14 Oct 2013, 09:36 AM (1,372 Views)
Billy Jack
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The Duke of Brisbane Town

Friends, I realised the other day that all them folks out there getting divorced means that there's a huge demand all the time for new dwellings. People separate and then one of them has to find a new home or dwelling. Because folks are doing this many times over, more than it happened 30 years agoo, this demographic trend would mean a higher demand for homes. But there's a demographic deluge coming. Another one that will mean more folks will be breaking off and needing a roof over their dainty little heads. And yet another demographic deluge that no one has even considered yet, but which surely will come, as in EU countries it's already OK to do it.

Marriage and Divorce Trebled Means Higher Home Prices

As them folks say over there in Asia, may you live in interesting times friends.
Tell Billy Jack the Truth
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Bluey
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Pity the people getting divorced can not afford to buy a home each or your premise would be valid. Nope, BJ, fail....
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Bluey
14 Oct 2013, 09:56 AM
Pity the people getting divorced can not afford to buy a home each or your premise would be valid. Nope, BJ, fail....
I see his point. They have to live somewhere. Also, if gay marriage is legalised, then that's a whole new economy and demand. IF the next step is taken, like it has in Europe, there's another step.

He's right because they still have jobs in the neighbourhoods. Or friends.
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jrsnr
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Billy Jack
14 Oct 2013, 09:36 AM
Friends, I realised the other day that all them folks out there getting divorced means that there's a huge demand all the time for new dwellings. People separate and then one of them has to find a new home or dwelling. Because folks are doing this many times over, more than it happened 30 years agoo, this demographic trend would mean a higher demand for homes. But there's a demographic deluge coming. Another one that will mean more folks will be breaking off and needing a roof over their dainty little heads. And yet another demographic deluge that no one has even considered yet, but which surely will come, as in EU countries it's already OK to do it.

Marriage and Divorce Trebled Means Higher Home Prices

As them folks say over there in Asia, may you live in interesting times friends.
why demand for new dwellings? i would expect a common catalyst for divorce, whether directly or indirectly, is infidelity - hence why two people in a relationship have separate housing? irregardless one of the following scenarios are available:

scenario 1: both divorcees leave the primary residence, both divorcees decide to live with another partner/family/friend/share household, net result one extra house available for rent/purchase

scenario 2: one divorcee remains in the primary residence, other divorcee moves in with another partner/family/friend/share household, net result zero

scenario 3: one divorcee remains the primary residence, other divorcee moves into another house demanding a new household, net result demand for one property

What statistics you have to know which of the above scenarios is prevalent? i don't think Australian Bureau of Statistics have a 'who are you shacking up with after your divorce?' index.

At the end of the day the above scenarios indicate that there may be just as much reasoning that divorce frees up housing.
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Shadow
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Evil Mouzealot Specufestor

jrsnr
14 Oct 2013, 12:56 PM
At the end of the day the above scenarios indicate that there may be just as much reasoning that divorce frees up housing.
I doubt many middle-aged people (possibly with kids) are going to want to live in a share house or move back in with their elderly parents on anything more than a very temporary basis. Once you've had a taste of independent living, it's going to be pretty hard to go back to sharing somebody else's spare room or sofa, especially at that stage of life.
Edited by Shadow, 14 Oct 2013, 01:12 PM.
1. Epic Fail! Steve Keen's Bad Calls and Predictions.
2. Residential property loans regulated by NCCP Act. Banks can't margin call unless borrower defaults.
3. Housing is second highest taxed sector of Australian Economy. Renters subsidised by highly taxed homeowners.
4. Ongoing improvement in housing affordability. Australian household formation faster than population growth since 1960s.
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Billy Jack
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The Duke of Brisbane Town

Yes friend. These divorced folks want their own roost.

And if they allow the Gay Marriage here, then there's another demographic for the realtors to get. They'll be buying (marrying) and selling and buying (divorcing) like crazy sauce.

And if they allow the other thing I speak of here, like they do in parts of Europe, with the sisters and brothers, then there's another demographic for the realtors to get. They'll be marrying and divorcing like crazy sauce also.

More money for everyone.
Tell Billy Jack the Truth
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herbie
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Are ya SURE he's a bear Piggy? (After reading that I still hold out a fond faint hope he 'could' be one a' your lot?) Though reckon he's most likely just a weasel??? 'N that makes poor ole herbie sad 'friends' ... :( :D
Edited by herbie, 14 Oct 2013, 10:14 PM.
A Professional Demographer to an amateur demographer: "negative natural increase will never outweigh the positive net migration"
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Pig Iron
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Bogan scum

herbie
14 Oct 2013, 10:13 PM
Are ya SURE he's a bear Piggy? (After reading that I still hold out a fond faint hope he 'could' be one a' your lot?) Though reckon he's most likely just a weasel??? 'N that makes poor ole herbie sad 'friends' ... :( :D
idunno but im not going to bother reading enough of his dribble to find out.
I am the love child of Tony Abbott and Pauline Hanson
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herbie
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Pig Iron
14 Oct 2013, 11:38 PM
idunno but im not going to bother reading enough of his dribble to find out.
Ditto.
A Professional Demographer to an amateur demographer: "negative natural increase will never outweigh the positive net migration"
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mel
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BJ you aren't getting much love anywhere unfortunately.

maybe try the ford forums :lol
Edited by mel, 15 Oct 2013, 12:23 AM.
APF - a place where serious people don't take themselves too seriously. There's nothing else like it.
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