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Home equity: Australia’s growing wealth divide - home owners vastly more wealthy than renters; For all our talk about affordability, few people want prices to drop, because most Australians are home owners
Topic Started: 9 Sep 2013, 03:59 PM (885 Views)
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Home equity: Australia’s growing wealth divide

Nicole Gurran
9 September 2013, 6.35am AEST

For all our talk about housing affordability, few people want house prices to drop. That’s because most Australians are home owners, and much of our wealth is stored in housing.

But recent figures released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) suggest a growing divide between those enjoying the financial benefits of home ownership, and those who may never be able to afford it.

Overall home ownership rates slipped from 69% to 67% between 2011-2012, signifying real change in Australia’s housing system. Age-specific home ownership rates have seen much sharper falls.

Since the Survey of Income and Housing began in 1995, home ownership rates have hovered between 71%-69%, although the proportion of home purchasers (people with mortgages) began to exceed outright home owners in 2004.

By this time Australia’s long housing boom (between 1996-2005) had begun to play out. Younger generations took longer to enter home ownership and needed to take on larger mortgages. As housing equity grew with the rising market, established households tapped into their home loans to finance other purchases, again meaning longer and bigger loans.

While some speculated that Gen Ys were avoiding the responsibilities and commitment of home ownership by choice, a recent survey of Australian university students reveals that home ownership remains an overriding aspiration for younger people. However, affordability (saving a deposit and meeting repayments) is a major concern for these students. Despite relatively bright employment prospects they fear they may never be mortgage free.

Housing and wealth

Home owners are vastly more wealthy than renters. The latest ABS figures show that the net worth of renter households was on average only about 13% of that enjoyed by owners with no mortgage, and about a fifth of the net worth of home purchasers.

Housing equity through ownership has provided an important nest egg for older Australians, with baby boomers the main winners in the housing market. Not only did they buy when prices were far more affordable, but family homes barely affect eligibility for the aged pension. If some retirees might over-invest in their castle, others are using super to pay off their home loan.

But although older Australians generally live in their own homes, home ownership among the over-55s has fallen too. This reflects changing household circumstances. Divorce is one of the flashpoints for falling out of home ownership, especially for women, and many are unable to climb back on the ladder. Older, lone person households are more likely to be in private rental than couples, and their financial future seems grim.

Falling rates of home ownership point to a looming problem. Government expenditure on older people, particularly the relatively low rate for the aged pension, depends on minimal housing costs and the capacity for co-payment (for care) by accessing home equity when the time comes. If older people retire with mortgage debt, and worse, without housing equity, ongoing government obligations for income and housing related payments will rise sharply.

More renters, less equity

The new data shows that while renting was once considered a transitional tenure, the proportion of renters is now roughly equal to the numbers of outright home owners (30.9%), down from nearly 42% in 1995. The proportion of households renting from a private landlord has grown from 18% in 1994-95 to 25% in 2011-12.

Households in public or social housing has fallen from 5.5% to 3.9% over the same period, exacerbating the shortage of affordable homes. Rather than investing in new social housing construction, government housing assistance has shifted to rental subsidy to help low-income earners afford rents in the private market.

Government subsidies for home ownership (largely through preferential tax treatment) amount to around $8,000 per household per year, but renters get only around $1,000 per year. Support for property investment equates to an additional $4,000. All up, that means in excess of $45 billion for home ownership compared to around $8 billion for renting, including concessions for private landlords through negative gearing.

There’s a generational aspect here too – renters and younger home purchasers get much less than older, higher-income home owners without mortgages.

Worse, as the Henry Tax review highlighted, many of these incentives for property investment push up house prices, further disadvantaging aspiring first home owners.

In 2009/10 only 5.2% of houses sold were affordable to those on lower incomes, and 60% of low-income private renters were in housing stress (when housing costs exceed 30% of income). Overall homelessness has grown 17.3% since 2006, with more than 105,200 Australians sleeping rough, couchsurfing, in crisis or temporary accommodation in 2011.

A fairer housing system

In election season, it’s disappointing to see that housing hasn’t really made it on the radar. What can be done to make things fairer?

It’s time to consider real changes to benefit the growing numbers of renters in Australia. The major differences between living in your own home and renting, relate to tenure security and wealth. Reforms to tenancy laws in each state might improve security for private tenants, making rental housing more a choice than necessity.

The Henry Tax Review recommended a number of changes to housing and related taxes, including negative gearing, capital gains and land tax and stamp duties. The review also recommended extending the Commonwealth’s rent assistance scheme for lower-income households, while warning that initiatives to increase the supply of housing affordable for low and moderate-income earners are needed.

We’re still waiting for the tax reforms, so what about affordable housing supply? Demand for housing is concentrated in established, inner-city locations accessible to transport and jobs; where supply is inherently constrained. So, just increasing the overall number of new houses produced in Australia won’t fix affordability problems for those currently locked out of home ownership.

Specific strategies to target the production of housing affordable for these groups are needed.

The federally funded National Rental Housing Affordability Scheme (NRAS) is worth keeping. It provides tax credits (worth $100,000 per dwelling) to investors or community organisations who build and rent dwellings for low and moderate-income earners, at 20% below market rates.

South Australia, WA and the ACT have all introduced programs to increase the supply of affordable homes for purchase, combining planning requirements and incentives, and in some cases, government land or equity sharing.

Design initiatives

Ingenious design may also help. With smaller households and more people preferring to live in inner-city areas near transport, jobs and services, some designers are experimenting with smaller, cost-effective and high-density housing prototypes.

Cash strapped, tech happy Gen Y’s keen to stay in the hood will like the new Yo!Home hitting London right now. A single room transforms to kitchen, diner, lounge or boudoir at the push of a button. It’s cramped, but facebook friends hang in virtual space.

For others, a prefab backyard flat might appeal. Changes to the NSW planning system mean small accessory dwellings (AKA granny flats) are now permissible on most residential lots.

It’s about making sure there’s sufficient housing of all sizes, types and costs in well-located areas. Extending the range of housing options also means sensible and committed strategies for planned decentralisation, in selected suburban and regional centres.

Home ownership rates in Australia have fallen, threatening to deepen the wealth divide. But it’s not too late to make things fairer for aspiring home owners and long-term renters alike.

Read more: http://theconversation.com/home-equity-australias-growing-wealth-divide-17697
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bob
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Those with lower net worth would on average be younger, having not yet bought say, but having most of their working lives still ahead of them. Where as those with the most equity, on average, would be much closer to retirement and therefore we would hope they would have greater net worths and more paid of their mortgages.

Overall home ownership rates slipped from 69% to 67% between 2011-2012
Old people die, their homes are sold to property investors because property investors are about the only ones willing to buy homes at current prices and current under the current economic turmoil. It's a gamble that Australia wont slip into a nasty recession and have a big collapse in prices.
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Frank Castle
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bob
9 Sep 2013, 04:14 PM
Old people die, their homes are sold to property investors
Not on one day or even one year or even decade
I doubt you will ever notice this "flood of properties" you and your cohorts pray for
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because property investors are about the only ones willing to buy homes at current prices

You are clutching at straws and the data says you are wrong
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A survey of more than 2000 university students aged 17-29 is challenging the carefree reputation of Gen Y, revealing they may be more responsible than they let on.
A whopping 96 per cent of the WA respondents plan to buy a property in the next five years - showing the dream of home ownership is still number one on their minds - and 60 per cent state they are “very bored” with Facebook.


Read more: http://www.news.com.au/realestate/news/gen-ys-reinvent-themselves-as-generation-sensible/story-fndbaln9-1226701277798#ixzz2eN7QK0hk
Edited by Frank Castle, 9 Sep 2013, 04:53 PM.
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I’ve spent the weekend mourning the death of one of the greatest practical thinkers of the 20th century. The late great Ronald Coase was famous for looking at things as they actually are, taking into account how people and organisations actually work, instead of blindly trotting out simplistic economic theories.

In that spirit, might we not ask: Why is demand for housing concentrated? Is it really just transport? Could there be other factors? Should we consider what they might be?

For those who like to consider how things actually work, there are four questions which any comprehensive model of Australian settlement must answer:

a) why is Australia’s population so heavily concentrated in the state and territory capitals?

b) why has this settlement pattern persisted (and intensified) over time despite the acknowledged high costs of the state and territory capitals and despite widely changing economic circumstances which might have been expected to see a move in the opposite direction?

c) why have towns like Newcastle or Mackay – which serve prosperous hinterlands – never grown into major metropolises?

d) why are similar patterns of political capital dominance seen in places like London, but not in the United States?

For those willing to step outside the square and consider alternative models, the role of settlement as a positional good must be taken into account as a contributing factor.

Under the Westminster system of “elective dictatorship” the Cabinet has a monopoly on executive and legislative power. Consequently, the Cabinet is the fountainhead of rents. Anyone aspiring to be a primary rent-seeker needs to live within “lunching distance” of the Cabinet. Secondary rent-seekers need to live within proximity of the primaries. Tertiary rent-seekers need to live within proximity of the secondaries.

And so it grows outwards like the layers of an onion centred on the Cabinet.

Melbourne grew under the system of government-imposed tariff protection which taxed competitive industries and regions in order to subsidise the influential industries close to the (then politically dominant) Melbourne Establishment.

Likewise Sydney has grown and is currently sustained by the convoluted and needlessly expensive system of compulsory private superannuation which effectively acts as industry protection for the finance industry.

Brisbane and Perth have grown and are sustained by their ability to collect mining royalties from the internationally competitive territories which they govern. (At least until the Abbott government centralises mineral royalties in order to buy votes in the bigger voting blocs of Sydney and Melbourne.)

All of the capitals extract rents through such policies as fuel tax which acts as a “distance tax” on those who live far from the metropolis. (Note how much lower fuel taxes are in the United States, where capital-city dominance is limited by constitutional separation of Legislature and Executive.)

On the other side of the ledger, spending is concentrated in the political capitals, not only in Australia, but in other Westminster system regimes.

For example London is the largest per capita recipient of government spending in the England, the second largest per capita recipient of government spending in the UK (after Northern Ireland), and the largest per capita recipient of spending (excluding social protection and agriculture) in the UK.

Not surprisingly, the political capitals spend money predominantly on themselves. That is how the system actually works.!!!

It is not to be inferred that Australian cities exist only as positional goods for those seeking access to government-directed rents. But to the extent that capital cities are positional goods, attempts to increase the supply of access will ultimately prove futile. It is impossible to increase the supply of a positional good.

The positional good theory suggests three altogether different policies to address the problem, all of them aimed at reducing the underlying rent-seeking:

a) reducing the rent-seeking power of the Executive through the constitutional separation of Legislature and Executive;

b) reducing the rent-seeking power of Legislature and Executive through the introduction of Democracy (referred to by some as “direct democracy”); and

c) reducing the extent of rent-seeking power by government in general through devolution of political power, both from the central government to the states and through division of the states into smaller autonomous cantons.

Of course, such policies are anathema to the rent-seekers themselves (not to mention the theologians committed to their simplistic non-positional economic models), so they will be comprehensively ignored.

That cannot be prevented. It is a widely studied characteristic of human beings to reject as a reflex action any perceived threat of disconfirmation of their entrenched beliefs or any perceived threat to their self-interest.

But such self-deception will do nothing to solve the underlying problem.
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themoops
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Frank Castle
9 Sep 2013, 04:53 PM
You are clutching at straws and the data says you are wrong
The data says FHBs are on strike, or have simply stopped giving a shit. It's all "investors" these days.

Fuck head.

That's right there won't be any "flood" of properties, boomers will die in dribs and drabs and we are importing a disgusting amount of immigrants. Anyone who says that boomers getting old is going to cause a crash is a fucken idiot.
Edited by themoops, 9 Sep 2013, 05:36 PM.
stinkbug omosessuale


Frank Castle is a liar and a criminal. He will often deliberately take people out of context and use straw man arguments.
Frank finally and unintentionally gives it up and admits he got where he is, primarily via dumb luck!
See here
Property will be 50-70% off by 2016.
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skamy
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themoops
9 Sep 2013, 05:34 PM
The data says FHBs are on strike, or have simply stopped giving a shit. It's all "investors" these days.

Fuck head.

That's right there won't be any "flood" of properties, boomers will die in dribs and drabs and we are importing a disgusting amount of immigrants. Anyone who says that boomers getting old is going to cause a crash is a fucken idiot.
All I can say is that if FHB are on strike they have picked one of the worst times in almost a decade to walk away from the market.

They are gonna pay a lot of money to catch up when they see their silliness waiting for FHB grants etc. Looks like Sydney might see 20% gains and Brisbane is taking off too. All the houses that were being sold at low prices after the GFC have almost all been snapped up. If they read the OP it should give them some idea of the potential detrimental effects renting can have on wealth generation.

WA young people are sensible though they have been snapping up the low priced housing coming out of the downturn.
Definition of a doom and gloomer from 1993
The last camp is made up of the doom-and-gloomers. Their slogan is "it's the end of the world as we know it". Right now they are convinced that debt is the evil responsible for all our economic woes and must be eliminated at all cost. Many doom-and-gloomers believe that unprecedented debt levels mean that we are on the precipice of a worse crisis than the Great Depression. The doom-and-gloomers hang on the latest series of negative economic data.
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Frank Castle
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themoops
9 Sep 2013, 05:34 PM
The data says FHBs are on strike, or have simply stopped giving a shit. It's all "investors" these days.



If I say I am buying a home in the next five years and buy one tomorrow,
I have still bought one in that timeframe
AND was only on strike until........I wasn't.
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Fuck head.
right back at you chump.
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That's right there won't be any "flood" of properties, boomers will die in dribs and drabs and we are importing a disgusting amount of immigrants. Anyone who says that boomers getting old is going to cause a crash is a fucken idiot.

Yet so many of your cohorts have claimed over the years that this will be the case.
Edited by Frank Castle, 9 Sep 2013, 05:46 PM.
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willy_nilly
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Mmmm.. Our actual deaths double over the next 2 decades to approx 300k per year. The baby boom turns into the death bust eventually. To ignore this, is ignorance.
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