Christopher Joye: You should be long housing right now, but beware regulatory risks; Aussie house price growth is accelerating, 8% annualised rate, way above wages growth
Catweasel say why is a understanding and quantify of risk about a troll?
Yet mouse consider to post press release or expert opinion churn.
In a behavioral, sandpit post if it fit along its dreams, hopes and emotional desire.
Asking it to think is a troll?
Goodness the grief.
Whatever happen to virtue of learn?
But perhaps it right.
Maybe mouse existence is better as sponge of media.
More the irony is that address the mouzealot,
Who love the good troll up.
It is just that you separate the cat from the mouse, this the bit annoy. You talk the problem of induction often, the mouse fuzzy logic based learning that controls the mouse risk the management behaviour, but the problem with the induction is that it works the well for a silly the system, so cannot blame the mouse for acting on the own experience. Cat also way the over estimate the media role in the bull risk the analyser and way the underestimate the role the media with the bear risk the management.
Many the master and the white shoe like the very much the cheap house and the cheap land for a few the years, then they like the nice the price the rise.
Definition of a doom and gloomer from 1993 The last camp is made up of the doom-and-gloomers. Their slogan is "it's the end of the world as we know it". Right now they are convinced that debt is the evil responsible for all our economic woes and must be eliminated at all cost. Many doom-and-gloomers believe that unprecedented debt levels mean that we are on the precipice of a worse crisis than the Great Depression. The doom-and-gloomers hang on the latest series of negative economic data.
It is just that you separate the cat from the mouse, this the bit annoy. You talk the problem of induction often, the mouse fuzzy logic based learning that controls the mouse risk the management behaviour, but the problem with the induction is that it works the well for a silly the system, so cannot blame the mouse for acting on the own experience. Cat also way the over estimate the media role in the bull risk the analyser and way the underestimate the role the media with the bear risk the management.
Many the master and the white shoe like the very much the cheap house and the cheap land for a few the years, then they like the nice the price the rise.
Catweasel say induction is relate to knowledge theory.
But how about risk the analysis in quantify?
Where does mouse start?
Where does master, expert and media school mouse?
Excel for dummies?
Mainstream the media is essential for master and expert. It scalable communication touch point. Comma theory 101.
Lets be clear...the call here is one where the bond markets (yield) diversediverge from the cash rate this will tend to push up the retail rate?
I just want to be clear before I respond in detail
No. The retail standard variable interest rate is determined / driven primarily by the RBA set overnight cash rate, + the average margin required by retail banks based on their funding / operational costs and profit objectives. The longer term interest rates being implied long dated bond prices may have an impact on longer term fixed rate retail offerings. However, really the bond rates are just a reflection of future market *expectation* of where the cash rate will be at maturity of that bond, and/or what it will average of the remaining lifetime of the bond.
Lets be clear...the call here is one where the bond markets (yield) diverse from the cash rate this will tend to push up the retail rate?
I just want to be clear before I respond in detail
HUH???
So are folk allowed to say "don't buy now" "sell now as prices will drop and you can buy bigger and better"
But apparently folk are not allowed to say what everyone with half a brain has advised young people for decades if not centuries ie to buy their own home and pay it down as soon as they can.
It is the best way to build wealth and this generation can buy coming out of a downturn, there has not been a better time to buy since the late 1990s early turn of the century.
But we are not allowed to say this anymore or the doom and gloom ponzi pushers and cheap house dreamers get upset.
Definition of a doom and gloomer from 1993 The last camp is made up of the doom-and-gloomers. Their slogan is "it's the end of the world as we know it". Right now they are convinced that debt is the evil responsible for all our economic woes and must be eliminated at all cost. Many doom-and-gloomers believe that unprecedented debt levels mean that we are on the precipice of a worse crisis than the Great Depression. The doom-and-gloomers hang on the latest series of negative economic data.
So are folk allowed to say "don't buy now" "sell now as prices will drop and you can buy bigger and better"
But apparently folk are not allowed to say what everyone with half a brain has advised young people for decades if not centuries ie to buy their own home and pay it down as soon as they can.
It is the best way to build wealth and this generation can buy coming out of a downturn, there has not been a better time to buy since the late 1990s early turn of the century.
But we are not allowed to say this anymore or the doom and gloom ponzi pushers and cheap house dreamers get upset.
Catweasel say of course mouse is allowed its opinion.
And it the also allowed to think for itself.
It also allowed to make mistakes.
Even though it no idea of magnitude of impact of its mistake.
And master and expert have freedom to tell mouse what best for it.
So are folk allowed to say "don't buy now" "sell now as prices will drop and you can buy bigger and better"
But apparently folk are not allowed to say what everyone with half a brain has advised young people for decades if not centuries ie to buy their own home and pay it down as soon as they can.
It is the best way to build wealth and this generation can buy coming out of a downturn, there has not been a better time to buy since the late 1990s early turn of the century.
But we are not allowed to say this anymore or the doom and gloom ponzi pushers and cheap house dreamers get upset.
Catweasel say of course mouse is allowed its opinion.
And it the also allowed to think for itself.
It also allowed to make mistakes.
Even though it no idea of magnitude of impact of its mistake.
And master and expert have freedom to tell mouse what best for it.
And mouse have freedom to question.
But what mouse is not allowed,
is to escape vagaries of universe,
and what it not the know.
Even Joyealicious would a agree.
For a guy with a house in Melbourne, one in Auckland, who plays the forex markets, buys shares in the Nikkei, and goes long and short on Gold ETF's you sure have a strange way of alerting everyone else to risk whilst accepting it yourself.
You and Nouriel didn't invent risk, it pre-dates both of you.
Any expressed market opinion is my own and is not to be taken as financial advice
For a guy with a house in Melbourne, one in Auckland, who plays the forex markets, buys shares in the Nikkei, and goes long and short on Gold ETF's you sure have a strange way of alerting everyone else to risk whilst accepting it yourself.
You and Nouriel didn't invent risk, it pre-dates both of you.
Catweasel say there the big difference between a those who a accept a risk and a consequence,
and the mouse.
It would think that it one the avenue for break out of metaphor.
But to swim in a risk,
it need to give up its ideas of world in cardboard box,
that spoon the fed by master and expert,
and reveal itself to mouse in Herald Tribune or white shoe brochure.
Even in a 2013, few the even contemplate or do the discuss.
Let alone a quantify.
Yes, it a complicate and best left to pointy heads,
who often more attuned to a universe and a philosophy,
For a guy with a house in Melbourne, one in Auckland, who plays the forex markets, buys shares in the Nikkei, and goes long and short on Gold ETF's you sure have a strange way of alerting everyone else to risk whilst accepting it yourself.
You and Nouriel didn't invent risk, it pre-dates both of you.
Good points Peter - if I had all of that going on I would sell them tomorrow and buy this
What do you say Cat? Is the stress worth it? Check out the last couple of photos where you can see a tiny part of the lake. The REA needs his arse kicked for not capitalizing on the whole appeal of that house IMHO.
Australian Property Forum is an economics and finance forum dedicated to discussion of Australian and global real estate markets and macroeconomics, including house prices, housing affordability, and the likelihood of a property crash. Is there an Australian housing bubble? Will house prices crash, boom or stagnate? Is the Australian property market a pyramid scheme or Ponzi scheme? Can house prices really rise forever? These are the questions we address on Australian Property Forum, the premier real estate site for property bears, bulls, investors, and speculators. Members may also discuss matters related to finance, modern monetary theory (MMT), debt deflation, cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin Ethereum and Ripple, property investing, landlords, tenants, debt consolidation, reverse home equity loans, the housing shortage, negative gearing, capital gains tax, land tax and macro prudential regulation.
Forum Rules:
The main forum may be used to discuss property, politics, economics and finance, precious metals, crypto currency, debt management, generational divides, climate change, sustainability, alternative energy, environmental topics, human rights or social justice issues, and other topics on a case by case basis. Topics unsuitable for the main forum may be discussed in the lounge. You agree you won't use this forum to post material that is illegal, private, defamatory, pornographic, excessively abusive or profane, threatening, or invasive of another forum member's privacy. Don't post NSFW content. Racist or ethnic slurs and homophobic comments aren't tolerated. Accusing forum members of serious crimes is not permitted. Accusations, attacks, abuse or threats, litigious or otherwise, directed against the forum or forum administrators aren't tolerated and will result in immediate suspension of your account for a number of days depending on the severity of the attack. No spamming or advertising in the main forum. Spamming includes repeating the same message over and over again within a short period of time. Don't post ALL CAPS thread titles. The Advertising and Promotion Subforum may be used to promote your Australian property related business or service. Active members of the forum who contribute regularly to main forum discussions may also include a link to their product or service in their signature block. Members are limited to one actively posting account each. A secondary account may be used solely for the purpose of maintaining a blog as long as that account no longer posts in threads. Any member who believes another member has violated these rules may report the offending post using the report button.
Australian Property Forum complies with ASIC Regulatory Guide 162 regarding Internet Discussion Sites. Australian Property Forum is not a provider of financial advice. Australian Property Forum does not in any way endorse the views and opinions of its members, nor does it vouch for for the accuracy or authenticity of their posts. It is not permitted for any Australian Property Forum member to post in the role of a licensed financial advisor or to post as the representative of a financial advisor. It is not permitted for Australian Property Forum members to ask for or offer specific buy, sell or hold recommendations on particular stocks, as a response to a request of this nature may be considered the provision of financial advice.
Views expressed on this forum are not representative of the forum owners. The forum owners are not liable or responsible for comments posted. Information posted does not constitute financial or legal advice. The forum owners accept no liability for information posted, nor for consequences of actions taken on the basis of that information. By visiting or using this forum, members and guests agree to be bound by the Zetaboards Terms of Use.
This site may contain copyright material (i.e. attributed snippets from online news reports), the use of which has not always been specifically authorized by the copyright owner. Such content is posted to advance understanding of environmental, political, human rights, economic, democratic, scientific, and social justice issues. This constitutes 'fair use' of such copyright material as provided for in section 107 of US Copyright Law. In accordance with Title 17 U.S.C. Section 107, the material on this site is distributed for research and educational purposes only. If you wish to use this material for purposes that go beyond 'fair use', you must obtain permission from the copyright owner. Such material is credited to the true owner or licensee. We will remove from the forum any such material upon the request of the owners of the copyright of said material, as we claim no credit for such material.
Privacy Policy: Australian Property Forum uses third party advertising companies to serve ads when you visit our site. These third party advertising companies may collect and use information about your visits to Australian Property Forum as well as other web sites in order to provide advertisements about goods and services of interest to you. If you would like more information about this practice and to know your choices about not having this information used by these companies, click here: Google Advertising Privacy FAQ
Australian Property Forum is hosted by Zetaboards. Please refer also to the Zetaboards Privacy Policy
