KEVIN Rudd's personal support among voters has slumped back to levels last seen before he was removed as prime minister in 2010 as he opened the 2013 election campaign by declaring himself the "underdog".
The latest Newspoll survey reveals that Labor starts the campaign with its support virtually unchanged in the past fortnight at 37 per cent to the Coalition's 44 per cent, down one percentage point.
Damn, I was willing to put up with these chardonnay socialist fuckwits for another 3 years for the NBN.
Looks like Canberra prices are gonna take a whack. Hopefully the Libs will rape the public service and crash property that way.
stinkbug omosessuale Frank Castle is a liar and a criminal. He will often deliberately take people out of context and use straw man arguments. Frank finally and unintentionally gives it up and admits he got where he is, primarily via dumb luck! See here Property will be 50-70% off by 2016.
at 4 bucks we make more money.. this is a good thing.
You gonna bet on it? Sometimes I feel Rudd will win, sometimes I reckon people will just be sick to death of it all on election day and Abbott will get in.
I wish the Libs would just keep the good NBN, then they'd be an absolute shoo in.
stinkbug omosessuale Frank Castle is a liar and a criminal. He will often deliberately take people out of context and use straw man arguments. Frank finally and unintentionally gives it up and admits he got where he is, primarily via dumb luck! See here Property will be 50-70% off by 2016.
You gonna bet on it? Sometimes I feel Rudd will win, sometimes I reckon people will just be sick to death of it all on election day and Abbott will get in.
I wish the Libs would just keep the good NBN, then they'd be an absolute shoo in.
5000 utterly delightful posts!!!
here - have a nun
hey it wasn't my first choice but im not allowed to post anything racier than this in the main forum anymore. I want to speak to the manager
and yes im thinking of putting a couple of hundred on it
Kevin Rudd has made a spectacular ''captain's pick'' by dumping Labor's endorsed candidate in the Brisbane seat of Forde, Des Hardman, and parachuting in a former Queensland premier, Peter Beattie.
The move has potentially redrawn the political landscape after the election, and could help the ALP recover a swag of seats in the Sunshine State, which may otherwise have slipped out of reach.
Labor insiders concede that Mr Hardman was struggling to build Labor's vote in the seat, held by Liberal National Party MP Bert van Manen by just 1.6 per cent.
As the second-most marginal LNP seat in Queensland, Forde is regarded as absolutely crucial to Labor's overall effort, with that state expected to do the heavy lifting for Labor if it is to secure a third term in Canberra.
Mr Rudd and Mr Beattie addressed reporters to confirm the move, with Mr Beattie admitting he had moved into his brother's house for the duration of the campaign and would seek to buy in the area only if successful.
Mr van Manen attacked him as a ''Johnny-come-lately'' who had stabbed Mr Hardman in the back in the pursuit of power.
''I've got a simple message for the people of Forde,'' he said. ''I wasn't parachuted in. He has had no contact with this electorate for at least the last six years, when he has been in various roles overseas.''
And according to a poll, Mr Beattie may have his work cut out as locals bristle at having an outsider foisted on them.
Like the staged firing of a Saturn V rocket escaping its earthly bonds, Labor banked on the election to provide the final impetus needed to slip its heavy past and propel it skyward in 2013.
Just as the Saturn V rocket used for the Apollo missions achieved its critical velocity by progressively dumping depleted sections of itself as it climbed, Kevin Rudd, the recycled leader, welcomed the early boost offered by the NSW Right faction, but has since cast it off in the most public way.
Toxic policies have also been jettisoned such as the carbon tax and a dysfunctional asylum seeker response, along with several unlucky candidates.
But while Earth's gravitational pull can be overcome with the controlled explosion of enough rocket fuel, Labor's six-year record of division and over-promising is not so readily denied.
Notwithstanding that an election had to be called this year anyway, there was always a danger for Rudd Mark II in going to the people before gaining a durable lead in the polls. Election campaigns, like rocket launches, have no reverse gear. Things end in one of two ways. Buoyed by the rate of his ascent in the weeks after June 26, Rudd and his boosters always believed he would climb yet further in the polls during the campaign proper.
In the narrowly focused context of the formal contest, they reasoned, Rudd would rise against a Liberal leader weighed down by his low popularity, half-baked policies on climate change and broadband and his reputation for old-world attitudes to women and same-sex marriage. But with the halfway point of this pantomime not far away, it is clear to the cooler heads in both camps that this race is already decided.
Tony Abbott's 52-48 per cent lead in last weekend's Fairfax-Nielsen poll is not unbridgeable for Labor but it is, in all likelihood, structural.
Consider the equation before voters. On one side is a two-term government racked by spectacular hatreds, dragged low by broken promises on carbon and the surplus, various program failures and a worsening economy. It campaigns for ''a new way'' but offers a recycled leader once dumped and then viciously traduced by his own side. This gaffer-taped operation is asking voters for another three years.
On the other side is an opposition famed for its negativity and woefully small-horizon thinking, yet uncannily united and consistent. Its leader, while prone to the odd verbal gaffe - his female candidates have ''sex appeal'' - enjoys unqualified support internally.
Having not trailed in the polls at any time since the last election, it has again edged ahead. Little wonder then that in a choice between Labor's incendiary internal chaos, which may or may not be behind it, and the Coalition's ground-dwelling but unified ordinariness, the latter is appealing to more voters.
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