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Anthropogenic Climate Change and Religion / Belief in a God; Do anthropogenic climate change alarmists also believe in god?
Topic Started: 31 Oct 2012, 11:00 AM (27,157 Views)
NotFooled
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The Bear Whisperer

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miw
10 Dec 2012, 07:03 PM


This is of course bullshit. Exactly the same amount of energy is escaping to space at CO2 and H2O absorption wavelengths.

Or at least, if less energy was escaping at the absorption wavelengths, it would be a sign that either the albedo of the earth had increased or insolation had reduced, which would tend to cause cooling, not warming.

Brought back to basics, the AGW thesis is that the same amount of energy is escaping at these wavelengths, but it has been through more molecules (scattered more times) on the way out and the average final emission occurs at a higher altitude.
Here is where the original quote came from: http://www.skepticalscience.com/empirical-evidence-for-co2-enhanced-greenhouse-effect.htm

Quote:
 
Satellite measurements of outgoing longwave radiation
In 1970, NASA launched the IRIS satellite that measured infrared spectra between 400 cm-1 to 1600 cm-1. In 1996, the Japanese Space Agency launched the IMG satellite which recorded similar observations. Both sets of data were compared to discern any changes in outgoing radiation over the 26 year period (Harries 2001). The resultant change in outgoing radiation was as follows:


Figure 1: Change in spectrum from 1970 to 1996 due to trace gases. 'Brightness temperature' indicates equivalent blackbody temperature (Harries 2001).

What they found was a drop in outgoing radiation at the wavelength bands that greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4) absorb energy. The change in outgoing radiation is consistent with theoretical expectations. Thus the paper found "direct experimental evidence for a significant increase in the Earth's greenhouse effect".

This result has been confirmed by subsequent papers using more recent satellite data. The 1970 and 1997 spectra were compared with additional satellite data from the NASA AIRS satellite launched in 2003 (Griggs 2004). This analysis was extended to 2006 using data from the AURA satellite launched in 2004 (Chen 2007). Both papers found the observed differences in CO2 bands matching the expected changes from rising carbon dioxide levels. Thus we have empirical evidence that increased CO2 is causing an enhanced greenhouse effect.

Surface measurements of downward longwave radiation
A compilation of surface measurements of downward longwave radiation from 1973 to 2008 find an increasing trend of more longwave radiation returning to earth, attributed to increases in air temperature, humidity and atmospheric carbon dioxide (Wang 2009). More regional studies such as an examination of downward longwave radiation over the central Alps find that downward longwave radiation is increasing due to an enhanced greenhouse effect (Philipona 2004).

Taking this a step further, an analysis of high resolution spectral data allows scientists to quantitatively attribute the increase in downward radiation to each of several greenhouse gases (Evans 2006). The results lead the authors to conclude that "this experimental data should effectively end the argument by skeptics that no experimental evidence exists for the connection between greenhouse gas increases in the atmosphere and global warming."


More in the above article.
Edited by NotFooled, 10 Dec 2012, 07:14 PM.
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Andrew Judd
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NotFooled
10 Dec 2012, 06:08 PM
They showed no such thing despite deniers trying to turn it into some huge conspiracy. Your use of the word "climategate" itself shows you are trying to disparage the scientists involved through connotations of a conspiracy. Your intellectual dishonesty is simply disappointing.

You still have failed, despite being asked numerous times, to provide credible peer reviewed scientific papers that overturn the overwhelming consensus amongst the scientific community.

So I will ask again... please provide your peer reviewed papers in a respected journal that overturn the overwhelming scientific consensus.

Do not skirt the issue. Do not try to claim we are abusing you by asking this. Do not try to disparage climate scientists.
The evidence of the climategate emails is quite clear

Scientists are concerned that promoting C02 warming in such strong terms without drawing attention to the level of uncertainty may cause them considerable future problems if the proposed warming does not eventuate.

The climategate emails are part of the scientific process and can be legitimately seen as being like a review of the state of knowledge we have about AGW.

How can I be dishonest for observing this?
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NotFooled
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The Bear Whisperer

Andrew Judd
10 Dec 2012, 07:14 PM
The evidence of the climategate emails is quite clear
Clear only to deniers who seek to push a particular agenda. And once again you are trying to divert attention because you have been unable to provide any peer reviewed papers that overturn the broad scientific consensus.

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Andrew Judd
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NotFooled
10 Dec 2012, 07:17 PM
Clear only to deniers who seek to push a particular agenda. And once again you are trying to divert attention because you have been unable to provide any peer reviewed papers that overturn the broad scientific consensus.
You keep going on about this

You are having an argument with a fantasy person rather than me.

The science supports what i am saying.

You are just so far unable to understand what i am saying

Edited by Andrew Judd, 10 Dec 2012, 07:29 PM.
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NotFooled
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The Bear Whisperer

Andrew Judd
10 Dec 2012, 07:22 PM



The science supports what i am saying.

You are just so far unable to understand what i am saying
Well then, Please state clearly what it is you are saying.
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Andrew Judd
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NotFooled
10 Dec 2012, 07:31 PM
Well then, Please state clearly what it is you are saying.
How about you provide some documentation that describes in a paragraph or so the current overwhelming scientific view on AGW so that i know what you are describing that is different to what i am describing and we take it from there?

I seem to be repeating myself so far.

As far as i can see we are disagreeing on what actually is the scientific consensus where i am saying the consensus is that humans are believed to be measureably warming the planet.

ThatGuy for example agreed that C02 caused warming is a theory at this point in time.

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Shadow
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Evil Mouzealot Specufestor

jester77
10 Dec 2012, 06:51 PM
I am an atheist because the science supports that position.
There is no science to support the existence or non-existence of gods.

Quote:
 
I accept AGW because the science supports that position.
There is no science that shows the degree to which humans influence the global climate, nor is there any consensus on the degree to which humans influence the global climate.

Quote:
 
You are a know nothing on the interweb.
Why the unprovoked abuse? It seems my post has hit a nerve...
NotFooled
10 Dec 2012, 07:09 PM
Skeptical Science is not a balanced site. It is a biased/alarmist/warmist site with an agenda.
Edited by Shadow, 10 Dec 2012, 08:29 PM.
1. Epic Fail! Steve Keen's Bad Calls and Predictions.
2. Residential property loans regulated by NCCP Act. Banks can't margin call unless borrower defaults.
3. Housing is second highest taxed sector of Australian Economy. Renters subsidised by highly taxed homeowners.
4. Ongoing improvement in housing affordability. Australian household formation faster than population growth since 1960s.
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miw
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NotFooled
10 Dec 2012, 07:09 PM
12345678

Here is where the original quote came from: http://www.skepticalscience.com/empirical-evidence-for-co2-enhanced-greenhouse-effect.htm
More in the above article.
Oops. I did not take into account the fact that a photon re-emitted from a CO2 (or water) molecule can strike the earth and be re-emitted at a frequency at which the atmosphere is transparent or the absorption band is already saturated. So yes. If you increase the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere, you would expect to see emission to space at the CO2 frequency decrease and the emissions at other frequencies where there are no IR absorbers/emitters or the band is already saturated increase.

Note that this is just consistent with the postulation that CO2 absorbs and emits at these frequencies which we already knew and that the band had not saturated by 1996 (which we did not know). Not seeing this effect would have disproved the theory behind AGW, but seeing it merely fails to disprove it, and it is still silent on the *proportion* of the change of temperature which is due to AGW.

That website is quite deceptive in the way it presents the data, because all the graphs have the effect of water vapour filtered out so as to make the effect of CO2 seem more significant than it really is. This is silly, because increase in water vapour concentration at the polar regions (which you would predict) could have much more "greenhouse effect" than CO2. But modelling of this increase and the behaviour of clouds is still very much a work in progress.
The truth will set you free. But first, it will piss you off.
--Gloria Steinem
AREPS™
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Count du Monet
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Andrew Judd
10 Dec 2012, 06:58 PM
C02 is an essentially almost biologically harmless gas.

Currently we are burning fossil fuels to ensure plants in greenhouses have sufficient C02 where C02 is essential for life on earth as we now know it.

And quite obviously C02 is being portrayed as some kind of bogeyman where vast clouds of water coming from cooling towers are being pictured along with the alarming C02 doom stories




What's all this got to do with the price of fish?

The argument essentially is whether increasing the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere cause more global warming.

The answer is yes.

You're pursuing a line of argument which indicates subjective emotionalism. Nothing to do with objectivity.

As for increasing CO2 being harmless for our sort of life, no it isn't. Even 1000 ppmbv is impairing the health of mammalian life. Mammals became lords of the planet as CO2 levels plummeted from 50 million years ago onwards. Mammals don't have have the super-efficient respiration that theropods have.
The next trick of our glorious banks will be to charge us a fee for using net bank!!!
You are no longer customer, you are property!!!

Don't be SAUCY with me Bernaisse
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Enjoy The Ride
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AGW is still a scary story to tell children before bedtime. You know the kind of problem only an enlightened state can solve, just a little tax here a subsidy there. Obama helped some mates out over at Solyndra.

Governments love a crisis so much, sometimes they have to create their own.

I thought we were supposed to be underwater by now anyway.

As to AGW I say bring it, I hate the f@king cold.
Enjoy The Ride!

The case for individual freedom rests chiefly on the recognition of the inevitable and universal ignorance of all of us concerning a great many of the factors on which the achievement of our ends and welfare depend. It is because every individual knows so little and, in particular, because we rarely know which of us knows best that we trust the independent and competitive efforts of many to induce the emergence of what we shall want when we see it. Humiliating to human pride as it may be, we must recognize that the advance and even the preservation of civilization are dependent upon a maximum of opportunity for accidents to happen.”
― Friedrich A. von Hayek


"I, on the other hand, am a fully rounded human being with a degree from the university of life, a diploma from the school of hard knocks, and three gold stars from the kindergarten of getting the shit kicked out of me." Blackadder.


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