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2012 APF Housing Market Predictions Thread
Topic Started: 19 Dec 2011, 11:47 AM (19,427 Views)
earthsta
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Shadow
21 Dec 2012, 08:30 AM
earthsta
21 Dec 2012, 08:26 AM
You've been wrong for so long now your contributions are inconsequential.
Incorrect. You're the one with multiple failed predictions of a 40% crash from 2009 levels, when prices have moved in the opposite direction - they are higher than when you made the predictions. My own prediction has three more years to play out, and prices have moved in the right direction - i.e. prices are currently higher than when I first made the prediction.
You're inconsequential.... and laughable

Good luck with your 60% rise prediction. :lol

Two years, one month and a day :bye:
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NotFooled
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The Bear Whisperer

earthsta
21 Dec 2012, 08:54 AM
You're inconsequential.... and laughable
Stop acting like a petulant child Earthsta. Accept that you were wrong and move on.
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Pig Iron
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Bogan scum

earthsta
21 Dec 2012, 08:54 AM
You're inconsequential.... and laughable

Good luck with your 60% rise prediction. :lol

Two years, one month and a day :bye:
Got a link to shadows 60% rise prediction, or are you happy to continue being full of shit?
I am the love child of Tony Abbott and Pauline Hanson
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stinkbug
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NotFooled
21 Dec 2012, 08:58 AM
Stop acting like a petulant child Earthsta. Accept that you were wrong and move on.
+1. If you want to actually debate then that's well and good, but all you seem to do these days is piss and moan like a bitter old man.
---------------------------------------------------------------

While it's true that those who win never quit, and those who quit never win, those who never win and never quit are idiots.

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earthsta
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timmy
21 Dec 2012, 08:59 AM
Got a link to shadows 60% rise prediction, or are you happy to continue being full of shit?
It's very simple.

He stated that house prices would "approach $1m" and used the Residex house price of circa $620k as the reference point.

That's a 60% rise for anybody who is numerate

Oh course, shadow will now redefine "approach $1m" as $700k or some such shit.

Inconsequential LOSER
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Sydneyite
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NotFooled
21 Dec 2012, 08:58 AM
Stop acting like a petulant child Earthsta. Accept that you were wrong and move on.
Agreed - so sick of Earthsta's nonsensical pursuit of Shadow over this! Shadow made the prediction, and he has been very clear many times by clarifying exactly what he meant by the terms that some might have found ambiguous. End of story.

In the meantime, Earthsta still believe's in / predicts the great house price crash that never comes! :dry: As well as repeatedly getting basic facts wrong, or mis-reading simple charts etc! :lol
For Aussie property bears, "denial", is not just a long river in North Africa.....
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themoops
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Sydneyite
21 Dec 2012, 11:32 AM
In the meantime, Earthsta still believe's in / predicts the great house price crash that never comes! :dry: As well as repeatedly getting basic facts wrong, or mis-reading simple charts etc! :lol
Given that the market is being propped up by ever weakening and absolutely disgusting and whorish measures you and the bulls' conceit about property not crashing is infantile. You're like a bunch of cliquey, cheerleader c#nts in high school.

stinkbug omosessuale


Frank Castle is a liar and a criminal. He will often deliberately take people out of context and use straw man arguments.
Frank finally and unintentionally gives it up and admits he got where he is, primarily via dumb luck!
See here
Property will be 50-70% off by 2016.
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Pig Iron
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Bogan scum

earthsta
21 Dec 2012, 11:25 AM
It's very simple.

He stated that house prices would "approach $1m" and used the Residex house price of circa $620k as the reference point.

That's a 60% rise for anybody who is numerate

Oh course, shadow will now redefine "approach $1m" as $700k or some such shit.

Inconsequential LOSER
I see, well still another 3 years on that one. it might be too early for you to celebrate just yet.

and really even if it's only up 10% in that time, he's still picked the direction of it. are you so bitter from your own failure you can't give credit where it's due?
I am the love child of Tony Abbott and Pauline Hanson
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Veritas
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timmy
21 Dec 2012, 11:46 AM
earthsta
21 Dec 2012, 11:25 AM
It's very simple.

He stated that house prices would "approach $1m" and used the Residex house price of circa $620k as the reference point.

That's a 60% rise for anybody who is numerate

Oh course, shadow will now redefine "approach $1m" as $700k or some such shit.

Inconsequential LOSER
I see, well still another 3 years on that one. it might be too early for you to celebrate just yet.

and really even if it's only up 10% in that time, he's still picked the direction of it. are you so bitter from your own failure you can't give credit where it's due?
I think the fair judgment is that you are both wrong, on balance.

FWIW, I dont forsee a 40% price crash.

But the notion that the Sydney median will be $1million by 2015 is la la stuff.

Unless of course, burger flippers will be commanding 45 dollar per hour wage packetsin 2015. It would be possible then.
Property acquisition as a topic was almost a national obsession. You couldn't even call it speculation as the buyers all presumed the price of property could only go up. That’s why we use the word obsession. Ordinary people were buying properties for their young children who had not even left school assuming they would not be able to afford property of their own when they left college- Klaus Regling on Ireland. Sound familiar?

The evidence of nearly 40 cycles in house prices for 17 OECD economies since 1970 shows that real house prices typically give up about 70 per cent of their rise in the subsequent fall, and that these falls occur slowly.
Morgan Kelly:On the Likely Extent of Falls in Irish House Prices, 2007
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Catweasel
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Catweasel say the only mouse who get closer to a understand in a 2012 is the one that a finally understand what it not know.

It the start.

To an enlighten.

And it seem mouse no different at end of 2012 to end of 2011.

Chances the be it will be no different when it as old as Strindbag.
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