The question is not whether the biosphere will adapt, whether natural, anthropogenic, or a combination of these. There are bacteria that are adapted to live off arsenic, after all.
The question is whether the biosphere will adapt quickly and (in human terms) inexpensively enough to easily maintain its support for 7 - 9 billion humans. If there is any non-trivial deficiency in the speed, expense, ease, or geographical distribution of this adaptation, it will likely lead to war.
Which would complicate the adaptive process, to say the least.
I don't believe it would have zero effect, however the magnitude of effect is unknown.
It might have minimal impact on climate change compared to natural causes. Nobody knows.
It might not... as you said, you don't know, so to only cite that it might have minimal effect compared to natural causes exposes your pre existing mindset to the amount of effect.
There seems to be a large number of scientists who say they know enough to say your mindset is wrong... who am I, or you to prove them wrong ?
I think it's correct to say nobody knows for certain... but I suspect a lot of scientists feel that they know with some degree of confidence.
Science is often not a clear cut yes or no... however if we wait for that binary answer we may simply miss any window of opportunity we have to act before it's too late. Simply citing that there is not 100% agreement on all scientists that cause and effect have been linked does not make a good case for inaction.
The evidence of smoking causing cancer was not cut and dry for quite a long time... the evidence of heavy metals causing significant damage to the ecology was equally hotly debated...
The growing body of evidence did, at some point, make it more and more likely that these two things should be linked to bad effects... there are, however, still scientists and doctors who claim that smoking is not a cause of cancer.
The evidence of smoking causing cancer was not cut and dry for quite a long time... the evidence of heavy metals causing significant damage to the ecology was equally hotly debated...
The growing body of evidence did, at some point, make it more and more likely that these two things should be linked to bad effects... there are, however, still scientists and doctors who claim that smoking is not a cause of cancer.
The evidence for the earth not being flat was not cut and dry for quite a long time... many people thought sailing off the edge of the earth would be fatal. The growing body of evidence did, at some point, make it less and less likely that sailing to the edge of the earth should be linked to bad effects... there are, however, still scientists who claim that the earth is flat.
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