Trump Election Confirms It: The world is on track for the biggest BOOM of all time!; We have a real estate President in charge. This cycle is really rumbling now. There’s a boom brewing.
Tweet Topic Started: 14 Nov 2016, 02:46 PM (10,525 Views)
"The truth is that there are no good men, or bad men. It is the deeds that have goodness or badness in them. There are good deeds, and bad deeds. Men are just men."
So I'm just wondering if you can point to any winning trades you've made. If you can't, that's fine.
I don't base my trading decisions on fundamentals as in What or Why people think a Market is going Up or Down. Its more complex than that.
If a market breaks out it breaks out for a reason. Some one is either buying or wants to get the dumb money on the wrong side of the trade.
If money is going to stocks then It makes sense to be long. If its leaving then it makes sense to go short. But again this is just a Bias in regards to possible market direction and not the only deciding factor of when and how to trade the scenario.
"The truth is that there are no good men, or bad men. It is the deeds that have goodness or badness in them. There are good deeds, and bad deeds. Men are just men."
I don't base my trading decisions on fundamentals as in What or Why people think a Market is going Up or Down. Its more complex than that.
If a market breaks out it breaks out for a reason. Some one is either buying or wants to get the dumb money on the wrong side of the trade.
If money is going to stocks then It makes sense to be long. If its leaving then it makes sense to go short. But again this is just a Bias in regards to possible market direction and not the only deciding factor of when and how to trade the scenario.
In others words - "buy low, sell high"! Absolute genius!!!
For Aussie property bears, "denial", is not just a long river in North Africa.....
Rattle the jingle bells and deck the halls with holly, because Christmas sure has come early for Donald Trump.
Not only has he bagged the White House, the US economy is really starting to move now.
The Financial Times reports that wage growth accelerated at its fastest pace since 2009 in the US. Private sector hiring is on a record streak.
I’m sure Trump won’t mind letting the world know, now that he’s in power. He can do what every politician does and change the narrative to suit him.
The ‘feel-good’ factor from this might just come in handy for his first 100 days, once the facts start getting out. He can drop the campaign rhetoric about an ailing America to get US consumers out of a fearful mindset, and spending even more.
Trump is no stranger to shifting positions. There are already reports that his website is dropping previous election policies and promises. The crazier stuff will no doubt get the flick, so that he looks more Presidential.
There’s one particular policy that won’t change, however, and that’s Trump’s intention to ‘dismantle’ the Dodd Frank Act. This is legislation brought in after 2008 to regulate the US financial sector. In fact, this is one policy he’s already confirmed now that he’s elected.
Phil Anderson over at Cycles, Trends and Forecasts had this outcome flagged as far back as June. He sent out an email at the time saying the following:
‘Donald Trump just got a massive boost to his chances of ascending to the US presidency — thanks to the US banks.
‘But you won’t see this reported on the front pages of any newspaper or magazine.
‘Here’s why. Several weeks ago, Jeb Hensarling — Chairman of the US House Financial Services Committee — put together measures to specifically help US banks by dismantling the Dodd-Frank Act.
‘That’s the Act brought in after 2008 to better regulate the banks and ensure ‘another financial panic would never happen again’.
‘Trump has endorsed these measures and vowed to ‘pull apart’ the former Act….
‘Banks will now undertake a prodigious effort to ensure Trump ‘looks’ more presidential than he is. US banks will now make every effort to get him elected. Then they’ll look for their payback.’
And holy moly, the Wall Street Journal now suggests that Trump is considering appointing Hensarling as Treasury Secretary.
Over at Cycles, Trends and Forecasts we often write about the property cycle that underpins the US and Australian economies. If you had to boil it down to two factors, it’s the property market and banks, of course.
Now we have a real estate President in charge who wants to drop property taxes and lift regulations off the financial sector. This cycle is really rumbling now. There’s a boom brewing.
Things get even more interesting at this point. China and the US have been discussing a new trade and investment framework that would allow Wall Street banks to open up their own investment banking businesses in mainland China. This is a big deal.
You might have missed this one because it was reported in the Wall Street Journal the day before the recent election. Donald Trump has clearly stated he wants to renegotiate everything with China. This could be a part of that.
At the moment these Wall Street banks can only operate in China if they pair up with another Chinese bank. You can imagine the hesitation in doing that (over loss of proprietary information, for starters).
But if the Wall Street banks could operate on their own they could underwrite initial public offerings on the local Chinese exchanges and be up for a lot more business. This is a highly profitable activity.
Now it’s too early to say if anything will come from all this in terms of the US banks penetrating into China. But just right now, view this development in terms of the real estate cycle I mentioned earlier.
Phil Anderson has said for years that this current real estate cycle — which has never failed to turn, since at least back to 1800 in the US and back to 1600 in the UK — could really kick off in a big way if US banks got access to Mainland China. In turn, Chinese banks became part of the global system, which they are not presently.
Events just keep coming in to keep this cycle turning. Cycles, Trends and Forecasts has said the same thing since it launched: the world is on track for the biggest boom of all time.
One thing Trump is doing will severely test the resolve of even the most ardent Republican. Before you even think of "" öh s!@#" look at the red flags coming from the Republicans more than anyone else, especially if a Republican Congress block on him.
Trumps affect is fascinating when he is interviewed, he talks at people not to people. Will this matter? hopefully not too much as long as he has got good surrogates for diplomacy.
See what happens.
Priebus is Chief of Staff and Mr Bannon as Strategist/ Senior Advisor look like a Dr Jekyll and Mr Hyde to me........
arrgh.
Bye bye science , bye bye weather bye bye
Khaderbhai
15 Nov 2016, 03:12 PM
Questions about the Mighty One. As I've said before, I'm not interested in feeding your obsession with His Lordship.
""Lordship/ mighty one,"" those words you are posting.
Enough said about your ego.
you choose not to answer the qn very intentionally.Remembered that Kris posts and runs, just wasted 16mins of my precious time.
Newjerk? can you try harder than dig up another person's blog. My first promo was with Billabong and my name in English is modified with a T, am Perth born but also lived in Sydney to make my $$ It's Absolutely Fabulous if it includes brilliant locations, & high calibre tenants..what more does one want? Understand the power of the two "P"" or be financially challenged Even better when there is family who are property mad and one is born in some entitlements.....Understand that beautiful women are the exhibitionists we crave attention, whilst hot blooded men are the voyeurs ... A stunning woman can command and takes pleasure in being noticed. Seems not too many understand what it means to hold and own props and get threatened by those who do. Banks are considered to be law abiding and & rather boring places yeah not true . A bank balance sheet will show capital is dwarfed by their liabilities this means when a portions of loans is falling its problems for the bank.
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