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The APF 2016 Predictions Thread
Topic Started: 18 Dec 2015, 04:01 PM (13,282 Views)
Ex BP Golly
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Bardon
26 Dec 2015, 09:27 PM
Cant you see it, the year is finishing with politicians falling all over themselves to announce ever bigger packages and incentives to reinvigorate Australia’s potential. This always translates to increased land values. They are not interested in genuinely solving today’s economic problems and only exists to protect property rights and the monetary systems.

The current real estate cycle is only just getting warmed up and it’s going to be the biggest boom that you will ever see.
I'm in!
WHAT WOULD EDDIE DO? MAAAATE!
Share a cot with Milton?
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Chris
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Ex BP Golly
27 Dec 2015, 08:26 AM
I'm in!
So is Bardon in the mind, in-firmed...........


I like his ending though, it certainly has a much happier outcome than my story so for the best part I will go along with what he's saying.

Scrap all previous predictions, to the moon and beyond 👍
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A Lurker
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Bardon
26 Dec 2015, 09:27 PM
Cant you see it, the year is finishing with politicians falling all over themselves to announce ever bigger packages and incentives to reinvigorate Australia’s potential. This always translates to increased land values. They are not interested in genuinely solving today’s economic problems and only exists to protect property rights and the monetary systems.

The current real estate cycle is only just getting warmed up and it’s going to be the biggest boom that you will ever see.
Agreed. And with the increased consumer sentiment evidence by the Boxing Day retail figured the buoyant moods appears contagious.

I think there is good potential for people that, for the Sydney market, paused during the Sept/Nov dip will now reassess over the break and pile in giving Sydney another kick along from February.
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Ex BP Golly
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Ex BP Golly
23 Dec 2015, 03:35 PM
Glenn Stevens last year with RBA
Chris Joye nominated to RBA board.
Scandal in the AOFM.
Operation Fox Hunt/ Skynet to have larger impact on Ozzy house prices.
BHP to be hammered.

Aud go to 0.62c
Roy Hill smashed too, with good chance of Palmer doing a Christopher SKase
Probably a good time to revisit some of our predictions.

I'll pull mine out of the hat, as there are a few that have come to pass, ie Chinese impact on apartment prices, our Glenn retiring, BHPs massive $8bn first half loss.

Clive under the hammer this week too!
MAjorca probably starting to look inviting lol.
WHAT WOULD EDDIE DO? MAAAATE!
Share a cot with Milton?
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newjez
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newjez
18 Dec 2015, 05:41 PM
Sydney -5%
Melbourne -3%
Brisbane 0%
Perth -5%
Darwin -7
Hobart 0%

AUD 60 cents

unemployment flat / higher

US rates 1% higher

Gold lower

Oil picking up from $20

Iron ore $30 but starting to look promising after many mine closures.

UK makes first rate rise end of year

EU stops qe.

Chinese growth falls below 5%

Far fetched

Isis dirty bomb causes 1000+ deaths

USA and NATO exchange fire

USA(partners) and China exchange fire

Ground troops in Syria, new Isis starts up in Libya
What do you reckon? I was a bit vague?

Perth spot on, not bothered about getting the others wrong.
Edited by newjez, 13 Sep 2016, 02:55 PM.
Whenever you have an argument with someone, there comes a moment where you must ask yourself, whatever your political persuasion, 'am I the Nazi?'
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Khaderbhai
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Wealthy Suburbanite

Shadow
20 Dec 2015, 10:56 AM
1) Sydney house price +7%
2) National house prices +5%
3) Gold continues its terminal decline, falling below US$900
4) Unemployment rate falls to 5.7%
5) Still no house price crash in any major Australian city
6) More bears vanish from APF to be replaced by new bears spruiking same tired old doom and gloom
7) Rastus, Golly and Terry continue to chase Shadow obsessively around the forum, trying in vain to score a point
8) Bears continue to bleat and wail about trolls and sockpuppets at every opportunity
9) Macrobusiness continue to get everything wrong
10) At least one of the States reintroduce First Home Buyer Grants for buyers of existing property
1 & 2 - pretty close (depending on which index we use)

3 - still has a few months to go, could happen

4,5,6,7,8,9 - spot on

10 - still a few months to go, could happen

Looks like the Mighty Shadow has maintained his 80-90% success rate.

Cue Rastus, Golly and/or Terry to deal with this latest Shadow emergency...
Edited by Khaderbhai, 13 Sep 2016, 03:24 PM.
Banks can't repossess your home simply because the market value falls. Australia's Consumer Credit Code says consumers aren't liable for things ordinarily outside their control and can't be held to obligations that could only be met by selling their home. Click for details.

"The truth is that there are no good men, or bad men. It is the deeds that have goodness or badness in them. There are good deeds, and bad deeds. Men are just men."
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A Lurker
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A Lurker
27 Dec 2015, 09:20 PM
Agreed. And with the increased consumer sentiment evidence by the Boxing Day retail figured the buoyant moods appears contagious.

I think there is good potential for people that, for the Sydney market, paused during the Sept/Nov dip will now reassess over the break and pile in giving Sydney another kick along from February.
Not bad.
A Lurker
20 Dec 2015, 02:02 PM
I predict Sydney bears that didn't buy this year will have some awkward Christmas Day conversations with the relos who urged them to get off the fence and buy at Christmas lunch last year.
Christmas is coming (again).
Edited by A Lurker, 13 Sep 2016, 03:44 PM.
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herbie
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A Lurker
13 Sep 2016, 03:43 PM
Christmas is coming (again).
Santa Claus ya cnt ... Where's me effin' bike? ... :)
A Professional Demographer to an amateur demographer: "negative natural increase will never outweigh the positive net migration"
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Trollie
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Ex BP Golly
13 Sep 2016, 01:12 PM
our Glenn retiring
Yeah big prediction that one, He got reappointed for 3 years in 2013

"When Stevens' new term ends in 2016"

http://www.smh.com.au/business/rba-governor-glenn-stevens-reappointed-for-another-three-years-20130403-2h6a5.html

Well done Golly :z:
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Ex BP Golly
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Trollie
13 Sep 2016, 07:51 PM
Yeah big prediction that one, He got reappointed for 3 years in 2013

"When Stevens' new term ends in 2016"

http://www.smh.com.au/business/rba-governor-glenn-stevens-reappointed-for-another-three-years-20130403-2h6a5.html

Well done Golly :z:
Hello trollop.
He could have sought to stay on, given he has about a decade left before retirement age.

Did you predict anything?
Golly- who predicted this?:
Quote:
 
Westpac pointed to reports that indicated a "surprisingly high proportion of FIRB buyers need recourse to finance".

Even those with access to cash may find difficulty, as authorities in China have tightened restrictions on capital flows out of the country.


http://mobile.abc.net.au/news/2016-09-13/high-rise-apartment-market-may-represent-risks-to-the-economy/7839610?pfmredir=sm
Edited by Ex BP Golly, 13 Sep 2016, 08:40 PM.
WHAT WOULD EDDIE DO? MAAAATE!
Share a cot with Milton?
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