I am going to assume your predictions of % are for the end of Dec (not sometime between now and then).
1) Sydney house price +7% +1% or even slightly negative (-2%) if factors change locally although 21) might keep it to +1. 2) National house prices +5% +4% 3) Gold continues its terminal decline, falling below US$900 (terminal decline implies it is headed to USD $0, I doubt it will ever reach that so your flawed). I use AUD to purchase/sell gold, not sure why you wish to mix up AUD and USD on gold while sticking to AUD for property. AUD Price back to around $1,800 or higher for end of year. 4) Unemployment rate falls to 5.7% Rises to 5.9 % 5) Still no house price crash in any major Australian city - what is a house price crash over 12 months equate to ? (One capital city will suffer negative property prices > 6%) 6) More bears vanish from APF to be replaced by new bears spruiking same tired old doom and gloom - Some perth bears accounts will do the same thing. 7) Rastus, Golly and Terry continue to chase Shadow obsessively around the forum, trying in vain to score a point- Rastus will continue to highlight where shadow is lying, misleading or avoiding telling the truth. 7)a - Shadow will continue to lie, mislead and avoid telling the truth when it suits him while claiming he never lies. 7)b - Stringberg will continue to avoid highlighting shadow doing the above while jumping on many others who do similar things. 8) Bears Posters continue to bleat and wail about trolls and sockpuppets at every opportunity 9) Macrobusiness continue to get everything some things wrong, bull property bloggs will continue to trick people into thinking returns will be far better than they really are. 10) At least one of the States reintroduce First Home Buyer Grants for buyers of existing property - agreed 11) Gold Coast free standing houses + 10%
Non property directly:
12) A capital city in Australia will suffer a terrorist attack 13) BlackPanther will continue to post non property related new threads into the property section of the forum and continue to be the biggest bear on the forum while being 100% bullish on property. 14) I will continue to post with a tablet that has random letter misses and not particularly care about it or my use of " ' ", much to the annoyance of others. 15) Turnbull over Shorten 16) Shorten dumped 17) Turnbull under threat from factions, but not ever serious threat. 18) Clinton to win US election 19) Trump not in the final race for US Election. 20) Refugee crisis continues, border control breaks down. Middle East spills over into Europe like never before causing social unrest. 21) Australia and USA become quite popular with people looking to get out of Europe... Immigration applications hit record numbers. 22) Qld credit rating takes a hit down. 23) WA credit rating takes a hit down.
Lets do the same for me :c)
1) Sydney house price +7% +1% or even slightly negative (-2%) if factors change locally although 21) might keep it to +1. - too conservative
2) National house prices +5% +4% - too conservative
3) Gold continues its terminal decline, falling below US$900 (terminal decline implies it is headed to USD $0, I doubt it will ever reach that so your flawed). I use AUD to purchase/sell gold, not sure why you wish to mix up AUD and USD on gold while sticking to AUD for property. AUD Price back to around $1,800 or higher for end of year. - Got to $1,800 AUD but has since fallen... failed prediction
4) Unemployment rate falls to 5.7% Rises to 5.9 % - it rose to 6 %, then fell.
5) Still no house price crash in any major Australian city - what is a house price crash over 12 months equate to ? (One capital city will suffer negative property prices > 6%) - Perth > 3.5%, so failed prediction
6) More bears vanish from APF to be replaced by new bears spruiking same tired old doom and gloom - Some perth bears accounts will do the same thing. yup 7) Rastus, Golly and Terry continue to chase Shadow obsessively around the forum, trying in vain to score a point- Rastus will continue to highlight where shadow is lying, misleading or avoiding telling the truth. - yup 7)a - Shadow will continue to lie, mislead and avoid telling the truth when it suits him while claiming he never lies. - yup 7)b - Stringberg will continue to avoid highlighting shadow doing the above while jumping on many others who do similar things. - yup 8) Bears Posters continue to bleat and wail about trolls and sockpuppets at every opportunity - yup 9) Macrobusiness continue to get everything some things wrong, bull property bloggs will continue to trick people into thinking returns will be far better than they really are. - yup 10) At least one of the States reintroduce First Home Buyer Grants for buyers of existing property - agreed - not sure this happened 11) Gold Coast free standing houses + 10% - nope, I was too bullish.
Non property directly:
12) A capital city in Australia will suffer a terrorist attack - hmmm 13) BlackPanther will continue to post non property related new threads into the property section of the forum and continue to be the biggest bear on the forum while being 100% bullish on property. - yup 14) I will continue to post with a tablet that has random letter misses and not particularly care about it or my use of " ' ", much to the annoyance of others. - yup 15) Turnbull over Shorten - yup 16) Shorten dumped - nope 17) Turnbull under threat from factions, but not ever serious threat. - yup 18) Clinton to win US election - nope 19) Trump not in the final race for US Election. - nope x 2 20) Refugee crisis continues, border control breaks down. Middle East spills over into Europe like never before causing social unrest. - hmmm 21) Australia and USA become quite popular with people looking to get out of Europe... Immigration applications hit record numbers. - yup 22) Qld credit rating takes a hit down. - nope 23) WA credit rating takes a hit down. - nope
1) Sydney house price +7% 2) National house prices +5% 3) Gold continues its terminal decline, falling below US$900 4) Unemployment rate falls to 5.7% 5) Still no house price crash in any major Australian city 6) More bears vanish from APF to be replaced by new bears spruiking same tired old doom and gloom 7) Rastus, Golly and Terry continue to chase Shadow obsessively around the forum, trying in vain to score a point 8) Bears continue to bleat and wail about trolls and sockpuppets at every opportunity 9) Macrobusiness continue to get everything wrong 10) At least one of the States reintroduce First Home Buyer Grants for buyers of existing property
Dec-2015 ... Syd -1.6, Aus +0.2 Mar-2016 ... Syd -0.7, Aus -0.2 Jun-2016 ... Syd +2.8, Aus 2.0 Sep-2016 ... Syd +2.6, Aus 1.5
With another ~2.5% growth for Sydney and ~2% for Australia in the Dec Quarter, we'll see Sydney at ~7% and Australia at ~5% for the year. Good call by the Mighty One.
3. Gold fell to $1050 this month. Not close enough though, so I guess this must be one of the 10-20% of predictions that The Great Shadow gets wrong.
4. Another excellent prediction by Lord Shadow.
5,6,7,8,9. All came to pass exactly as His Mightiness foretold. APF bears failing, bailing and wailing in record numbers.
10. Coming in 2017!
So that's an 80-90% success rate, as per normal for The Great One.
Only The Prophet BearTrap can achieve a 100% or higher success rate.
Cue Rastus to deal with this latest Shadow emergency.
"The truth is that there are no good men, or bad men. It is the deeds that have goodness or badness in them. There are good deeds, and bad deeds. Men are just men."
When you are in the middle of a REM cycle, definitely. When you wake up tomorrow, see if you can find some actual evidence that supports your claim, or we will be left with the impression that you are simply an empty braggart.
Speak when you are angry and you will make the best speech you will ever regret. Ambrose Bierce
When you are in the middle of a REM cycle, definitely. When you wake up tomorrow, see if you can find some actual evidence that supports your claim, or we will be left with the impression that you are simply an empty braggart.
You know that you will always be envious of my foresight, nothing that I ever do or tell you will ever change your feelings about me.
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