At least 80%? I think there is a 100% chance you are f***ing deluded.
It's not such a stretch of the imagination you know. And imagination, human mental extrapolation, is what has given us our best inventions and basically our current amazing way of life. What is a house in the outer suburbs of Perth worth when half the city is on some form of welfare payment and petrol is $2 a liter? When a small rural town in the SW offers abundant cheap food and cheap housing in comparison? The world is changing, we are transitioning to renewables and those sources include the concept of using a lot less energy. No future government is going to waste billions of dollars on scarce oil to re-surface tens of thousands of kilometers suburban streets in the decades to come. Nor will the people in the suburbs tolerate living in a perpetual dust cloud created by cars and trucks motoring over dirt. These are the questions your imagination has not answered, and the reason you haven't gone there is that you simply cannot imagine a life other than the one you now live.
100 years and more ago people living in the small cities of the day couldn't imagine the loss of the horse as the primary means of human transport. The automobile was a novelty the rich dabbled in, a slow dangerous device that was expensive to run and maintain. Well they were wrong, because they couldn't imagine the massive exploitation of the world's oil reserves that was about to change things completely. Now the average person in Perth face the same problem but in reverse, they cannot imagine a city without 500,000 cars tooling back and forth to schools; work, and the shopping centers each and every day. But that will end, and when it does a cheaply built home up a cul-de-sac may not end up being worth the concrete its sitting on.
If you are honest you will consider this possibility, because every other civilization in the history of the planet has seen it's city real estate devalue in a major way when it ran out of cheap resources, and I can't see ours performing any differently. In fact I see it performing a lot worse because even old Roman roads, entertainment complexes and water facilities are still in existence today, 2000 years after they were constructed. I can't think of a single piece of Australian infrastructure that is designed to last more than 100 years. And that implies massive future expenditure to keep our cities livable. You can pave roads with oil base but not with solar panels.
It's not such a stretch of the imagination you know. And imagination, human mental extrapolation, is what has given us our best inventions and basically our current amazing way of life. What is a house in the outer suburbs of Perth worth when half the city is on some form of welfare payment and petrol is $2 a liter? When a small rural town in the SW offers abundant cheap food and cheap housing in comparison? The world is changing, we are transitioning to renewables and those sources include the concept of using a lot less energy. No future government is going to waste billions of dollars on scarce oil to re-surface tens of thousands of kilometers suburban streets in the decades to come. Nor will the people in the suburbs tolerate living in a perpetual dust cloud created by cars and trucks motoring over dirt. These are the questions your imagination has not answered, and the reason you haven't gone there is that you simply cannot imagine a life other than the one you now live.
100 years and more ago people living in the small cities of the day couldn't imagine the loss of the horse as the primary means of human transport. The automobile was a novelty the rich dabbled in, a slow dangerous device that was expensive to run and maintain. Well they were wrong, because they couldn't imagine the massive exploitation of the world's oil reserves that was about to change things completely. Now the average person in Perth face the same problem but in reverse, they cannot imagine a city without 500,000 cars tooling back and forth to schools; work, and the shopping centers each and every day. But that will end, and when it does a cheaply built home up a cul-de-sac may not end up being worth the concrete its sitting on.
If you are honest you will consider this possibility, because every other civilization in the history of the planet has seen it's city real estate devalue in a major way when it ran out of cheap resources, and I can't see ours performing any differently. In fact I see it performing a lot worse because even old Roman roads, entertainment complexes and water facilities are still in existence today, 2000 years after they were constructed. I can't think of a single piece of Australian infrastructure that is designed to last more than 100 years. And that implies massive future expenditure to keep our cities livable. You can pave roads with oil base but not with solar panels.
Actually, one day we will pave roads with solar panels, and roofs. Makes perfect sense.
Whenever you have an argument with someone, there comes a moment where you must ask yourself, whatever your political persuasion, 'am I the Nazi?'
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