THE YES CAMPAIGN is ahead in the Scottish referendum battle for the first time, according to a poll, amid signs of infighting among senior figures backing the union.
The YouGov research for the Sunday Times found 51% supported independence, compared to 49% who wanted to remain in the UK.
The results are the latest evidence of a dramatic surge for the Yes Scotland campaign, which has seen the gap between the sides - once regularly in double digits - vanish in a matter of months.
The YouGov poll showed the Yes vote increasing by four points, while No dropped by the same number.
The headline figures exclude those who would not vote or are undecided. With those groups included independence was backed by 47% and staying in the UK 45%.
The two point gap is within the margin of error for such polls, meaning the contest, which climaxes on September 18, is effectively too close to call.
Scotland’s Deputy First Minister Nicola Sturgeon described the poll as “exceptionally positive” but added that the Yes campaign “still has a lot of work to do to win”.
Alistair Darling, leader of the pro-Union Better Together campaign, said the poll “must now serve as a wake-up call to anyone who thought the referendum result was a foregone conclusion”.
• Get the latest referendum news, opinion and analysis from across Scotland and beyond on our new Scottish Independence website
The former Chancellor said: “The polls may conflict, but the message I take from them is clear: If you want Scotland to remain part of the UK family you have to vote for it on 18 September. Separation is forever.
“These polls can and must now serve as a wake-up call to anyone who thought the referendum result was a foregone conclusion. It never was. It will go down to the wire. Now is the time to speak up and speak out.”
Rumours about the latest YouGov findings had been swirling for days. The firm has charted a remarkable turnaround for Yes, which has seen them recover from a 22 point deficit in just one month.
Writing in the Sunday Mirror, former prime minister Gordon Brown acknowledged that the referendum battle was proving tougher than some had expected - and laid the blame squarely with the Tories.
“Why has it been difficult to win Scottish votes in support of this principle of sharing that most Scots hold dear?” the Labour MP for Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath wrote.
“Many are angry that the Bedroom Tax was imposed upon Scots against their will while at the same time the very wealthy received tax cuts.
“The SNP also claim that the ramifications of any Tory privatisation of the NHS in England will cut budgets in Scotland.
“But English and Welsh people have already given an answer to the SNP claims.
“The answer is that 90% of English people want to keep the NHS public and retain it free at the point of need.
“And the vast majority across the whole UK dislike the Bedroom Tax and would even consider more taxes to make our NHS better.”
He added: “Our union is not out of date or an anachronism or a museum piece but a unique, unparalleled, multinational living partnership that Europe and America cannot match or mirror.
“And what our ancestors built up, no nationalist should be allowed to split asunder.”
A second poll, carried out by Panelbase for Yes Scotland, found that No is leading 52% to 48% when undecided voters are excluded.
The Panelbase poll also found that 47% of women support independence, which Yes Scotland say is a 13 point increase in six months.
Ms Sturgeon said: “These are exceptionally positive and encouraging figures - and the Panelbase poll shows record support for independence among women.
“Yes still has a lot of work to do to win on the 18th, we remain the underdogs, but we approach the final 10 days with huge enthusiasm and confidence.
“A positive finding that everyone can unite on - whether Yes or No - is that overwhelmingly people in Scotland believe that deciding our future in a democratic referendum is something we can be very proud of as a nation.
“The referendum has engaged many people who have never voted before in their lives, filled public halls the length and breadth of the country, and ushered in a sense of possibility and creativity.
“The challenge for all of us is to unite as a country once the decision is made, and do everything we can to maintain this boost in democratic participation that the referendum has ushered in.”
THE YES CAMPAIGN is ahead in the Scottish referendum battle for the first time, according to a poll, amid signs of infighting among senior figures backing the union.
The YouGov research for the Sunday Times found 51% supported independence, compared to 49% who wanted to remain in the UK.
The results are the latest evidence of a dramatic surge for the Yes Scotland campaign, which has seen the gap between the sides - once regularly in double digits - vanish in a matter of months.
The YouGov poll showed the Yes vote increasing by four points, while No dropped by the same number.
The headline figures exclude those who would not vote or are undecided. With those groups included independence was backed by 47% and staying in the UK 45%.
The two point gap is within the margin of error for such polls, meaning the contest, which climaxes on September 18, is effectively too close to call.
Scotland’s Deputy First Minister Nicola Sturgeon described the poll as “exceptionally positive” but added that the Yes campaign “still has a lot of work to do to win”.
Alistair Darling, leader of the pro-Union Better Together campaign, said the poll “must now serve as a wake-up call to anyone who thought the referendum result was a foregone conclusion”.
• Get the latest referendum news, opinion and analysis from across Scotland and beyond on our new Scottish Independence website
The former Chancellor said: “The polls may conflict, but the message I take from them is clear: If you want Scotland to remain part of the UK family you have to vote for it on 18 September. Separation is forever.
“These polls can and must now serve as a wake-up call to anyone who thought the referendum result was a foregone conclusion. It never was. It will go down to the wire. Now is the time to speak up and speak out.”
Rumours about the latest YouGov findings had been swirling for days. The firm has charted a remarkable turnaround for Yes, which has seen them recover from a 22 point deficit in just one month.
Writing in the Sunday Mirror, former prime minister Gordon Brown acknowledged that the referendum battle was proving tougher than some had expected - and laid the blame squarely with the Tories.
“Why has it been difficult to win Scottish votes in support of this principle of sharing that most Scots hold dear?” the Labour MP for Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath wrote.
“Many are angry that the Bedroom Tax was imposed upon Scots against their will while at the same time the very wealthy received tax cuts.
“The SNP also claim that the ramifications of any Tory privatisation of the NHS in England will cut budgets in Scotland.
“But English and Welsh people have already given an answer to the SNP claims.
“The answer is that 90% of English people want to keep the NHS public and retain it free at the point of need.
“And the vast majority across the whole UK dislike the Bedroom Tax and would even consider more taxes to make our NHS better.”
He added: “Our union is not out of date or an anachronism or a museum piece but a unique, unparalleled, multinational living partnership that Europe and America cannot match or mirror.
“And what our ancestors built up, no nationalist should be allowed to split asunder.”
A second poll, carried out by Panelbase for Yes Scotland, found that No is leading 52% to 48% when undecided voters are excluded.
The Panelbase poll also found that 47% of women support independence, which Yes Scotland say is a 13 point increase in six months.
Ms Sturgeon said: “These are exceptionally positive and encouraging figures - and the Panelbase poll shows record support for independence among women.
“Yes still has a lot of work to do to win on the 18th, we remain the underdogs, but we approach the final 10 days with huge enthusiasm and confidence.
“A positive finding that everyone can unite on - whether Yes or No - is that overwhelmingly people in Scotland believe that deciding our future in a democratic referendum is something we can be very proud of as a nation.
“The referendum has engaged many people who have never voted before in their lives, filled public halls the length and breadth of the country, and ushered in a sense of possibility and creativity.
“The challenge for all of us is to unite as a country once the decision is made, and do everything we can to maintain this boost in democratic participation that the referendum has ushered in.”
If it doesn't get up I'll be surprised, they have more than enough natural resources to be self sufficient, it may even put England in the shit as they are taking a large portion if revenue at the moment from Scotland's resources and have taken this revenue for granted for a very long time now.
If it doesn't get up I'll be surprised, they have more than enough natural resources to be self sufficient, it may even put England in the shit as they are taking a large portion if revenue at the moment from Scotland's resources and have taken this revenue for granted for a very long time now.
I wish then the best, I hope it gets up!!!
This will be very interesting to watch.
If the Union is no more it will be interesting to see the effects on the pound, the economy and overall house prices in the lower UK.
I get the impression it is going to be a rough few years ahead for Britain and Scotland.
It's the uncertainty that will be the killer in the short term. But it's one thing to ask a Scotsman if they want freedom. It's another to ask them if they are willing to pay for it.
Whenever you have an argument with someone, there comes a moment where you must ask yourself, whatever your political persuasion, 'am I the Nazi?'
It's the uncertainty that will be the killer in the short term. But it's one thing to ask a Scotsman if they want freedom. It's another to ask them if they are willing to pay for it.
IF it gets up, it will unravel all of Europe.
Catalonia in Espana, Venizia in Italia, the list goes on ...
I think it would be a great thing for the Scots to at long last break away from the Union. Not sure they will make it though as there is still a lot of ingrained religious bigotry and the majority protestants have a tendency to London. Plus they watch too much telly.
The best bit would be that the middle Englanders would all of a sudden wake up to the fact that most of the English have no identity. They have illusions of empire but the facts are that most of them are just offspring of cotton weavers, nothing wrong with that except that they don't realise it. They will have to come terms with it though if the Jocks bolt.
Australian Property Forum is an economics and finance forum dedicated to discussion of Australian and global real estate markets and macroeconomics, including house prices, housing affordability, and the likelihood of a property crash. Is there an Australian housing bubble? Will house prices crash, boom or stagnate? Is the Australian property market a pyramid scheme or Ponzi scheme? Can house prices really rise forever? These are the questions we address on Australian Property Forum, the premier real estate site for property bears, bulls, investors, and speculators. Members may also discuss matters related to finance, modern monetary theory (MMT), debt deflation, cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin Ethereum and Ripple, property investing, landlords, tenants, debt consolidation, reverse home equity loans, the housing shortage, negative gearing, capital gains tax, land tax and macro prudential regulation.
Forum Rules:
The main forum may be used to discuss property, politics, economics and finance, precious metals, crypto currency, debt management, generational divides, climate change, sustainability, alternative energy, environmental topics, human rights or social justice issues, and other topics on a case by case basis. Topics unsuitable for the main forum may be discussed in the lounge. You agree you won't use this forum to post material that is illegal, private, defamatory, pornographic, excessively abusive or profane, threatening, or invasive of another forum member's privacy. Don't post NSFW content. Racist or ethnic slurs and homophobic comments aren't tolerated. Accusing forum members of serious crimes is not permitted. Accusations, attacks, abuse or threats, litigious or otherwise, directed against the forum or forum administrators aren't tolerated and will result in immediate suspension of your account for a number of days depending on the severity of the attack. No spamming or advertising in the main forum. Spamming includes repeating the same message over and over again within a short period of time. Don't post ALL CAPS thread titles. The Advertising and Promotion Subforum may be used to promote your Australian property related business or service. Active members of the forum who contribute regularly to main forum discussions may also include a link to their product or service in their signature block. Members are limited to one actively posting account each. A secondary account may be used solely for the purpose of maintaining a blog as long as that account no longer posts in threads. Any member who believes another member has violated these rules may report the offending post using the report button.
Australian Property Forum complies with ASIC Regulatory Guide 162 regarding Internet Discussion Sites. Australian Property Forum is not a provider of financial advice. Australian Property Forum does not in any way endorse the views and opinions of its members, nor does it vouch for for the accuracy or authenticity of their posts. It is not permitted for any Australian Property Forum member to post in the role of a licensed financial advisor or to post as the representative of a financial advisor. It is not permitted for Australian Property Forum members to ask for or offer specific buy, sell or hold recommendations on particular stocks, as a response to a request of this nature may be considered the provision of financial advice.
Views expressed on this forum are not representative of the forum owners. The forum owners are not liable or responsible for comments posted. Information posted does not constitute financial or legal advice. The forum owners accept no liability for information posted, nor for consequences of actions taken on the basis of that information. By visiting or using this forum, members and guests agree to be bound by the Zetaboards Terms of Use.
This site may contain copyright material (i.e. attributed snippets from online news reports), the use of which has not always been specifically authorized by the copyright owner. Such content is posted to advance understanding of environmental, political, human rights, economic, democratic, scientific, and social justice issues. This constitutes 'fair use' of such copyright material as provided for in section 107 of US Copyright Law. In accordance with Title 17 U.S.C. Section 107, the material on this site is distributed for research and educational purposes only. If you wish to use this material for purposes that go beyond 'fair use', you must obtain permission from the copyright owner. Such material is credited to the true owner or licensee. We will remove from the forum any such material upon the request of the owners of the copyright of said material, as we claim no credit for such material.
Privacy Policy: Australian Property Forum uses third party advertising companies to serve ads when you visit our site. These third party advertising companies may collect and use information about your visits to Australian Property Forum as well as other web sites in order to provide advertisements about goods and services of interest to you. If you would like more information about this practice and to know your choices about not having this information used by these companies, click here: Google Advertising Privacy FAQ
Australian Property Forum is hosted by Zetaboards. Please refer also to the Zetaboards Privacy Policy