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Bulls turn into Bears; The consensus has changed.
Topic Started: 31 Aug 2014, 08:08 PM (3,642 Views)
Dr Watson
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ThePauk
1 Sep 2014, 04:33 PM
Sure, have a buy order at 19.5 cents again.... although I doubt it will fall again given the restructure and the likely NBN contracts...
Oh ... you'll have to find another stock to make a motza from. Let us know which one you choose and when you buy in.
The trouble with the world is that the stupid are cocksure and the intelligent are full of doubt — Bertrand Russell
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Shadow
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Evil Mouzealot Specufestor

Veritas
1 Sep 2014, 04:37 PM
Why not look at it over the last ten decades?

Why seven?
Doesn't matter whether you look at it over the past 100 years or the past 1000 years.

It's only over the past seven decades that prices have been doubling on average every ten years.

Looking at it over ten decades won't change that fact.

It's like when I say the house price to income ratio has been relatively steady since 2003 and then the bears complain that I haven't included the period prior to 2003. But looking at the period prior to 2003 (or any other period) doesn't change the fact that house prices have tracked close to income growth since 2003.
Edited by Shadow, 1 Sep 2014, 05:06 PM.
1. Epic Fail! Steve Keen's Bad Calls and Predictions.
2. Residential property loans regulated by NCCP Act. Banks can't margin call unless borrower defaults.
3. Housing is second highest taxed sector of Australian Economy. Renters subsidised by highly taxed homeowners.
4. Ongoing improvement in housing affordability. Australian household formation faster than population growth since 1960s.
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ThePauk
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Dr Watson
1 Sep 2014, 04:54 PM
Oh ... you'll have to find another stock to make a motza from. Let us know which one you choose and when you buy in.
mmmm, sure
Just took a PUT position on SGP
http://www.asx.com.au/asx/markets/optionPrices.do?by=optionInfo&optionCode=SGPQ97
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b_b
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ThePauk
1 Sep 2014, 05:55 PM
I assume it is a bought Put. What was the premium?
(S – I) + (T - G) + (M - X) = 0
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Count du Monet
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Shadow
1 Sep 2014, 05:04 PM
Doesn't matter whether you look at it over the past 100 years or the past 1000 years.

Not so good from the early 1990's when the Basel agreement was adopted and rate of money devaluation was reduced. Money takes 13-15 years to lose half its value now rather than the 6 or 7 years of the 1970's. So generally the median house price will now take 13 years to double!
The next trick of our glorious banks will be to charge us a fee for using net bank!!!
You are no longer customer, you are property!!!

Don't be SAUCY with me Bernaisse
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ThePauk
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b_b
1 Sep 2014, 06:17 PM
I assume it is a bought Put. What was the premium?
Mmmm, $4.25 on Sept 4 and now $4.13, nice
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newjez
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Shadow
1 Sep 2014, 04:20 PM
No. Prices don't double every ten years.

But if you look at the growth over the past seven decade, it averages out at around 8% per annum, which is pretty close to doubling every 10 years on average over that period.
Ah, now I see. It doesn't double every ten years, it just doubles every ten years. Shadowometry.
Whenever you have an argument with someone, there comes a moment where you must ask yourself, whatever your political persuasion, 'am I the Nazi?'
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Dr Watson
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newjez
10 Sep 2014, 01:14 PM
Ah, now I see. It doesn't double every ten years, it just doubles every ten years. Shadowometry.
There's no need to be like that.
The trouble with the world is that the stupid are cocksure and the intelligent are full of doubt — Bertrand Russell
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Ex BP Golly
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newjez
10 Sep 2014, 01:14 PM
Ah, now I see. It doesn't double every ten years, it just doubles every ten years. Shadowometry.
"Approaches" doubling every 10 years.


Dr Watson
10 Sep 2014, 01:23 PM
There's no need to be like that.
The double you have when you're not having a double?
Edited by Ex BP Golly, 10 Sep 2014, 03:17 PM.
WHAT WOULD EDDIE DO? MAAAATE!
Share a cot with Milton?
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newjez
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Ex BP Golly
10 Sep 2014, 03:16 PM
"Approaches" doubling every 10 years.



The double you have when you're not having a double?
.. and you have to wait till the end of the tenth year.
Dr Watson
10 Sep 2014, 01:23 PM
There's no need to be like that.
I like playing with my shadow.
Edited by newjez, 10 Sep 2014, 04:21 PM.
Whenever you have an argument with someone, there comes a moment where you must ask yourself, whatever your political persuasion, 'am I the Nazi?'
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