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Signs Point to Year of the Dollar's Ascent; (USD$)
Topic Started: 29 Dec 2013, 02:46 PM (3,241 Views)
Logic
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Mmmm.. and here I was thinking the US dollar will crash next year.
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peter fraser
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Massive
29 Dec 2013, 07:26 PM
historically though AUD typically always weakens against a "strengthening" US dollar and strengthens against a falling USD.

if the USD rises enough and US interest rates increase , it will likely be thought of as a "safe" currency again and money will be pulled off the AUD and into USD ... for the AUD to just keep up with a USD rise and not fall, let alone outpace a USD rise would be a pretty significant shift in the global sentiment of AUD's position in the market...
I was pointing out to dave that the AUD can rise against the USD even when the USD is gaining strength.

I'm also expecting the Aussie to fall against the USD but others are not. I know that the kouk is expecting rate rises and a higher Aussie dollar in 2014.
reference - http://www.marketeconomics.com.au/2479-the-economy-and-markets-in-2014
Any expressed market opinion is my own and is not to be taken as financial advice
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hoofarted
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So am I. Risk is back on baby!!! Load up!!!
So am I. Risk is back on baby!!! Load up!!!
Edited by hoofarted, 29 Dec 2013, 09:32 PM.
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HardTruths
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peter fraser
29 Dec 2013, 08:12 PM
I was pointing out to dave that the AUD can rise against the USD even when the USD is gaining strength.

You forgot to point out that a large coronal mass ejection could take out every communications satellite in low earth orbit while you were pointing out events of extremely low probability.
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I'm also expecting the Aussie to fall against the USD but others are not. I know that the kouk is expecting rate rises and a higher Aussie dollar in 2014.
reference - http://www.marketeconomics.com.au/2479-the-economy-and-markets-in-2014

Interesting link, I will save the page for comedic relief during 2014.
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Pig Iron
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Bogan scum

HardTruths
29 Dec 2013, 05:10 PM
So, the USD will go up, but the AUD won't go down against the USD?

:bl:

What do you do for a living? I hope it doesn't involve arithmetic.


This forum is the compound interest version of stupidity.
should i even bother responding, or did you manage to figure out your fuck up all by yourself like a big boy?
I am the love child of Tony Abbott and Pauline Hanson
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HardTruths
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Pig Iron
29 Dec 2013, 10:11 PM
should i even bother responding, or did you manage to figure out your fuck up all by yourself like a big boy?
No, no, by all means explain to me how the Aussie dollar will rise against the greenback while the greenback rises against the dollar index basket.

Take your time. Use your words.
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Pig Iron
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Bogan scum

HardTruths
29 Dec 2013, 11:21 PM
No, no, by all means explain to me how the Aussie dollar will rise against the greenback while the greenback rises against the dollar index basket.

Take your time. Use your words.
you aren't grasping that the USD can strengthen while the AUD rises against the USD.

it isn't a vacuum in which there is only the USD and AUD. that is the whole point that's shooting right over your head.
I am the love child of Tony Abbott and Pauline Hanson
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HardTruths
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Pig Iron
29 Dec 2013, 11:25 PM
you aren't grasping that the USD can strengthen while the AUD rises against the USD.

it isn't a vacuum in which there is only the USD and AUD. that is the whole point that's shooting right over your head.
You are right! I am not grasping that! Perhaps you could explain it to me if you understand the mechanism yourself.

What factors will lead to the Aussie dollar rising against the USD while the USD rises against the dollar index currencies? What will cause currency weakness in the Euro, Yen, Pound, Loony, Krona and Franc, that will not affect the Aussie?
Edited by HardTruths, 29 Dec 2013, 11:31 PM.
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Pig Iron
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Bogan scum

HardTruths
29 Dec 2013, 11:31 PM
You are right! I am not grasping that! Perhaps you could explain it to me if you understand the mechanism yourself.

What factors will lead to the Aussie dollar rising against the USD while the USD rises against the dollar index currencies? What will cause currency weakness in the Euro, Yen, Pound, Loony, Krona and Franc, that will not affect the Aussie?
i don't spoon feed condescending fuckwits like you dave. if the big boy utensils are too much for you, i suggest you get a spork.

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I am the love child of Tony Abbott and Pauline Hanson
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HardTruths
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Pig Iron
29 Dec 2013, 11:36 PM
i don't spoon feed condescending fuckwits like you dave.
So that is a 'no' then?
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if the big boy utensils are too much for you, i suggest you get a spork.

Does that mean you aren't going to help me grasp the intricacies of foreign exchange?
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